tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Norfolk via Atlanta: arrives on time 39%

  1. 18:59 EWR → 21:46 ATL
    DL 2430 · Delta · 2h 47m · 60% on time, 13.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 ATL → 00:45 ORF +1 day
    DL 2731 · Delta · 1h 46m · 68% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (13.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 46mEWR 18:59 to ORF 00:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.