tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Columbia via Atlanta: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:59 EWR → 21:46 ATL
    DL 2430 · Delta · 2h 47m · 60% on time, 13.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 ATL → 23:46 CAE
    DL 3029 · Delta · 1h 05m · 80% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (13.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 47mEWR 18:59 to CAE 23:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.