tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Francisco via Spokane: arrives on time 85%

  1. 12:17 MSP → 13:18 GEG
    DL 2437 · Delta · 3h 01m · 89% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Spokane (GEG) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:21 GEG → 18:45 SFO
    AS 3070 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 28mMSP 12:17 to SFO 18:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.