tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 15:20 SRQ → 17:05 ATL
    DL 2438 · Delta · 1h 45m · 85% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 ATL → 22:17 MIA
    DL 1588 · Delta · 2h 01m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 57mSRQ 15:20 to MIA 22:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.