tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 15:20 SRQ → 17:05 ATL
    DL 2438 · Delta · 1h 45m · 85% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 ATL → 22:47 DCA
    DL 378 · Delta · 1h 52m · 66% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 27mSRQ 15:20 to DCA 22:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.