tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:20 SRQ → 17:05 ATL
    DL 2438 · Delta · 1h 45m · 85% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 ATL → 19:48 DCA
    DL 832 · Delta · 1h 53m · 59% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 28mSRQ 15:20 to DCA 19:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.