tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:34 CVG → 07:04 ATL
    DL 2441 · Delta · 1h 30m · 96% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 4h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:12 PHX
    DL 796 · Delta · 4h 02m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 201 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 06m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 38mCVG 05:34 to PHX 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.