tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Detroit via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 17:35 PHX → 20:41 SEA
    DL 2442 · Delta · 3h 06m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:10 SEA → 06:27 DTW +1 day
    DL 810 · Delta · 4h 17m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 52mPHX 17:35 to DTW 06:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.