tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Redmond via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 17:35 PHX → 20:41 SEA
    DL 2442 · Delta · 3h 06m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 SEA → 22:58 RDM
    DL 4047 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 91% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 23mPHX 17:35 to RDM 22:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.