tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Houston via Detroit: arrives on time 69%

  1. 16:30 JFK → 18:55 DTW
    DL 2443 · Delta · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 DTW → 22:24 IAH
    DL 1633 · Delta · 2h 59m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 54mJFK 16:30 to IAH 22:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.