Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Diego via Detroit: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:30 JFK → 18:55 DTW
    DL 2443 · Delta · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:24 DTW → 22:06 SAN
    DL 700 · Delta · 4h 42m · 64% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip8h 36mJFK 16:30 to SAN 22:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.