tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 64%

  1. 16:30 JFK → 18:55 DTW
    DL 2443 · Delta · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:43 DTW → 22:00 LAS
    DL 916 · Delta · 4h 17m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 30mJFK 16:30 to LAS 22:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.