tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Milwaukee via Detroit: arrives on time 52%

  1. 16:30 JFK → 18:55 DTW
    DL 2443 · Delta · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DTW → 20:22 MKE
    DL 3724 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 22m · 64% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 52mJFK 16:30 to MKE 20:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.