tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Columbus via Detroit: arrives on time 86%

  1. 16:30 JFK → 18:55 DTW
    DL 2443 · Delta · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 DTW → 23:56 CMH
    DL 5634 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 06m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 26mJFK 16:30 to CMH 23:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.