tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 73%

  1. 20:30 PDX → 23:00 LAX
    DL 2459 · Delta · 2h 30m · 89% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:55 LAX → 08:30 JFK +1 day
    DL 915 · Delta · 5h 35m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 00mPDX 20:30 to JFK 08:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.