tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 43%

  1. 11:50 MSY → 15:57 LGA
    DL 2461 · Delta · 3h 07m · 73% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:06 LGA → 19:32 CLT
    DL 5047 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 26m · 68% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 42mMSY 11:50 to CLT 19:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.