tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 52%

  1. 11:50 MSY → 15:57 LGA
    DL 2461 · Delta · 3h 07m · 73% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 LGA → 19:50 ATL
    DL 968 · Delta · 2h 50m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 00mMSY 11:50 to ATL 19:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.