tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 35%

  1. 14:16 VPS → 17:10 MSP
    DL 2462 · Delta · 2h 54m · 77% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 MSP → 22:09 JFK
    DL 5244 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 59m · 52% on time, 11.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (11.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 53mVPS 14:16 to JFK 22:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.