tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Washington via Minneapolis: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:16 VPS → 17:10 MSP
    DL 2462 · Delta · 2h 54m · 77% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 MSP → 22:02 DCA
    DL 2962 · Delta · 2h 27m · 63% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 46mVPS 14:16 to DCA 22:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.