tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Raleigh/Durham via New York: arrives on time 46%

  1. 11:29 FLL → 14:27 LGA
    DL 2465 · Delta · 2h 58m · 70% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 LGA → 17:35 RDU
    DL 5109 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 05m · 71% on time, 8.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (8.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 06mFLL 11:29 to RDU 17:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.