tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Richmond via New York: arrives on time 45%

  1. 11:29 FLL → 14:27 LGA
    DL 2465 · Delta · 2h 58m · 70% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:29 LGA → 17:19 RIC
    DL 5516 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 50m · 76% on time, 14.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (14.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 50mFLL 11:29 to RIC 17:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.