tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 10:36 MCI → 13:37 ATL
    DL 2471 · Delta · 2h 02m · 94% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 ATL → 17:31 SFO
    DL 823 · Delta · 5h 02m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 01mMCI 10:36 to SFO 17:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.