tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Des Moines via Minneapolis: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:55 LGA → 09:48 MSP
    DL 2473 · Delta · 2h 53m · 91% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 MSP → 14:05 DSM
    DL 5490 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 15m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 10mLGA 07:55 to DSM 14:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.