tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Jacksonville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:55 LGA → 09:48 MSP
    DL 2473 · Delta · 2h 53m · 91% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:57 MSP → 16:54 JAX
    DL 2392 · Delta · 2h 55m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 57mLGA 07:55 to JAX 16:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.