tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Nashville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:55 LGA → 09:48 MSP
    DL 2473 · Delta · 2h 53m · 91% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 MSP → 15:00 BNA
    DL 2843 · Delta · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 05mLGA 07:55 to BNA 15:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.