tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:05 TPA → 09:51 JFK
    DL 2475 · Delta · 2h 44m · 94% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:29 JFK → 15:09 BUF
    DL 5296 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 40m · 82% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 04mTPA 07:05 to BUF 15:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.