tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → San Juan via New York: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:05 TPA → 09:51 JFK
    DL 2475 · Delta · 2h 44m · 94% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in New York (JFK) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:00 JFK → 15:59 SJU
    B6 703 · JetBlue · 3h 59m · 65% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 54mTPA 07:05 to SJU 15:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.