tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Las Vegas via New York: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:05 TPA → 09:51 JFK
    DL 2475 · Delta · 2h 44m · 94% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 JFK → 14:02 LAS
    DL 807 · Delta · 5h 32m · 82% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 57mTPA 07:05 to LAS 14:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.