tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Detroit: arrives on time 62%

  1. 12:29 DCA → 14:04 DTW
    DL 2476 · Delta · 1h 35m · 87% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:57 DTW → 17:19 XNA
    DL 4889 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 22m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 50mDCA 12:29 to XNA 17:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.