tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Des Moines via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:29 DCA → 14:04 DTW
    DL 2476 · Delta · 1h 35m · 87% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:18 DTW → 17:13 DSM
    DL 5345 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 57m · 75% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 46mDCA 12:29 to DSM 17:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.