tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:30 RDU → 08:59 ATL
    DL 2478 · Delta · 1h 29m · 89% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:46 ATL → 14:13 TPA
    DL 1525 · Delta · 1h 26m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 182 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 42mRDU 07:30 to TPA 14:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.