tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:30 RDU → 08:59 ATL
    DL 2478 · Delta · 1h 29m · 89% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 13:29 JFK
    DL 2380 · Delta · 2h 19m · 82% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 59mRDU 07:30 to JFK 13:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.