tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:32 BWI → 19:14 DTW
    DL 2480 · Delta · 1h 42m · 81% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DTW → 21:00 MSP
    DL 1303 · Delta · 1h 55m · 65% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 28mBWI 17:32 to MSP 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.