tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → St Louis via Detroit: arrives on time 53%

  1. 17:32 BWI → 19:14 DTW
    DL 2480 · Delta · 1h 42m · 81% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DTW → 20:39 STL
    DL 1541 · Delta · 1h 39m · 78% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 07mBWI 17:32 to STL 20:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.