tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Portland via Detroit: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:32 BWI → 19:14 DTW
    DL 2480 · Delta · 1h 42m · 81% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:04 DTW → 21:50 PDX
    DL 913 · Delta · 4h 45m · 60% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 17mBWI 17:32 to PDX 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.