tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 17:24 BHM → 19:30 ATL
    DL 2484 · Delta · 1h 06m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:21 ATL → 21:34 IAH
    DL 1284 · Delta · 2h 13m · 73% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 10mBHM 17:24 to IAH 21:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.