tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 52%

  1. 17:24 BHM → 19:30 ATL
    DL 2484 · Delta · 1h 06m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 ATL → 20:40 BNA
    DL 790 · Delta · 1h 15m · 67% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip3h 16mBHM 17:24 to BNA 20:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.