tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:10 ROC → 07:28 DTW
    DL 2495 · Delta · 1h 18m · 100% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:07 DTW → 11:00 EWR
    UA 3409 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 53m · 90% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 50mROC 06:10 to EWR 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.