tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:10 ROC → 07:28 DTW
    DL 2495 · Delta · 1h 18m · 100% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 DTW → 12:30 LGA
    AA 4415 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 51m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 21mROC 06:10 to LGA 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.