tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Des Moines via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:25 LGA → 08:14 MSP
    DL 2510 · Delta · 2h 53m · 94% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MSP → 10:14 DSM
    DL 4998 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 14m · 85% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 49mLGA 06:25 to DSM 10:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.