tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Asheville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:25 LGA → 08:14 MSP
    DL 2510 · Delta · 2h 53m · 94% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:04 MSP → 12:20 AVL
    DL 2181 · Delta · 2h 20m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 59mLGA 06:25 to AVL 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.