tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Jose via Minneapolis: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:25 LGA → 08:14 MSP
    DL 2510 · Delta · 2h 53m · 94% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 MSP → 12:05 SJC
    DL 2383 · Delta · 4h 00m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 40mLGA 06:25 to SJC 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.