tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Raleigh/Durham via Minneapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:25 LGA → 08:14 MSP
    DL 2510 · Delta · 2h 53m · 94% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:21 MSP → 13:53 RDU
    DL 2521 · Delta · 2h 30m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 26mLGA 06:25 to RDU 13:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.