tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Omaha via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:25 LGA → 08:14 MSP
    DL 2510 · Delta · 2h 53m · 94% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:39 MSP → 11:57 OMA
    DL 3838 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 20m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 34mLGA 06:25 to OMA 11:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.