tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Madison via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:25 LGA → 08:14 MSP
    DL 2510 · Delta · 2h 53m · 94% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:12 MSP → 11:20 MSN
    DL 4102 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 08m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 55mLGA 06:25 to MSN 11:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.