tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:26 ROC → 14:35 ATL
    DL 2511 · Delta · 2h 11m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 ATL → 17:19 BWI
    DL 1267 · Delta · 1h 54m · 69% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 53mROC 12:26 to BWI 17:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.