tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 12:26 ROC → 14:35 ATL
    DL 2511 · Delta · 2h 11m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:11 ATL → 20:14 DTW
    DL 1478 · Delta · 2h 02m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 47mROC 12:26 to DTW 20:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.