tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 48%

  1. 12:26 ROC → 14:35 ATL
    DL 2511 · Delta · 2h 11m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:33 ATL → 17:54 EWR
    DL 2340 · Delta · 2h 21m · 66% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 28mROC 12:26 to EWR 17:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.