tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 11:33 RDU → 13:20 MSP
    DL 2519 · Delta · 2h 47m · 85% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 MSP → 17:00 SEA
    DL 877 · Delta · 3h 45m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 27mRDU 11:33 to SEA 17:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.