tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 65%

  1. 14:48 RDU → 16:41 MSP
    DL 2521 · Delta · 2h 55m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 MSP → 20:24 LAS
    DL 2246 · Delta · 3h 21m · 69% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 32mRDU 14:48 to LAS 20:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.